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Writer's pictureJason Ulrich

SAAS Company Valuation Models and Formula

There are several approaches to valuing a SaaS (Software as a Service) company, and the appropriate method will depend on the specific circumstances of the business. Here are some common approaches to SaaS company valuation:


  1. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis: This method estimates the present value of future cash flows by discounting them back to their current value. DCF analysis is a popular method for valuing SaaS companies since it can account for the recurring revenue nature of the business model.

  2. Revenue Multiple: The revenue multiple methods involve applying a multiple to a company's revenue to arrive at a valuation. Typically, SaaS companies are valued at a higher multiple of revenue than other industries, given the recurring revenue model.

  3. Customer Lifetime Value (LTV): This method calculates the present value of all future cash flows that a customer will generate over their lifetime. By estimating the LTV of a company's customer base, it is possible to estimate the overall value of the business.

  4. Comparable Transactions: This method involves analyzing similar transactions in the industry to arrive at a valuation. This approach is particularly useful when there are recent acquisitions or sales of similar companies in the market.

  5. Market Capitalization: Finally, SaaS companies can be valued based on their market capitalization, which is the value of the company's outstanding shares of stock multiplied by its current stock price. This approach is particularly useful for publicly traded companies.

It is important to note that each of these methods has its own strengths and weaknesses and should be used in conjunction with other valuation methods to arrive at a comprehensive valuation of a SaaS company.


Valuation Formula


The metrics involved are:

● ARR (business size)

● Growth rate (momentum)

● Net revenue retention (product quality)

● Gross margin (profitability)


The formula is:


Valuation = ARR x Growth Rate x NRR x 10.


Once you have this number, you adjust it based on the gross margin.


Let's use an example to make it easy to understand.


A SaaS business has an ARR of $7m. Their growth rate is a steady 55%, with an excellent NRR of 115%. Plugging that into the valuation formula gets us:


Valuation = (7 x 55 x 115 x 10). This implies a valuation of $44m or x6.3.


But remember, we need to adjust for gross margin. We can calculate gross margin as (Revenue minus Cost of Goods Sold) / Revenue.


So, if revenues were $7m and costs were $1, we have (7 - 1) / 7 = A gross margin of 86%.


This figure is above the average SaaS growth margin of 75%, which means we can increase our valuation multiplier.


Of course, we should remember this formula is very straightforward. More reliable SaaS valuations will need to account for several other metrics.

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